USDCAD

USDCAD 24-Hour Market Analysis

Analytical market scenario

Model ScenarioNeutral
Confidence35.00%35
Forecast Horizon24 hours
Entry Price1.41
StatusChecked

Probability Distribution

Growth38.00%38
Neutral42.00%42
Decline20.00%20

Why This Forecast?

USD/CAD is trading at 1.4135, with a 24-hour change of 0.3479% and a 7-day change of 1.0654%. The 24-hour range spans 1.4101–1.4143, while observed volatility over the same window is 0.2971%.

Market Context

USDCAD is trading near 1.4135. The 24-hour change is 0.3479%. The 24-hour range is 1.4101–1.4143. The 24-hour volatility is 0.2971%.

Detailed Analysis

The pair shows a modestly positive 24-hour change of 0.3479% and a stronger 7-day change of 1.0654%, suggesting a mild upward drift over the past week. However, the most recent one-hour change of -0.0283% is slightly negative, indicating a pause in momentum. The 24-hour range of 1.4101–1.4143 is relatively narrow, and observed volatility of 0.2971% is low, which supports a neutral near-term outlook.

Key Factors

  • The canonical USDCAD market context includes 1.4135.
  • The 7-day change of 1.0654% indicates a mild upward bias over the past week.
  • The 24-hour change of 0.3479% remains positive but modest, suggesting limited directional conviction.
  • Observed 24-hour volatility of 0.2971% is low, consistent with a range-bound environment.
  • The 24-hour range of 1.4101–1.4143 is narrow, reflecting limited price movement.

What Could Change This Scenario?

  • The one-hour change of -0.0283% is slightly negative, which could signal a short-term reversal if sustained.
  • Low observed volatility of 0.2971% may precede a sudden expansion in price movement, increasing uncertainty.
  • The current price of 1.4135 is near the upper end of the 24-hour range of 1.4101–1.4143, leaving limited room for further upside without a breakout.

How This Forecast Is Verified

Generated
25.09.2026 03:25

Scheduled check
26.09.2026 03:25

Current status
Checked

Checked price: 1.42

Result: Correct

Price change: 0.12%

Checked at:

Historical accuracy of Marketograph AI

Overall accuracy: 84.91%

Verified forecasts: 53

Wins: 45

Losses: 8

View full accuracy

This forecast is an analytical market scenario based on the data available at the time of generation. It is not investment advice.

Live Market Chart

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Marketograph Scenario
Model ScenarioNeutral
Confidence35%
Horizon24 hours
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ConfirmedForecast Verified

Market Case

Forecast vs Reality

Forecast DirectionNeutral
Actual DirectionNeutral
Forecast ResultConfirmed
Prediction Error0.12030

Performance Snapshot

Entry Price1.41350
Exit Price1.41520
Price Change0.12%

AI Review

Summary

Market case created from checked forecast. AI review pending.

Forecast Review

Forecast review will be generated in the next AI Market Case sprint.

Market Context

Market Context

Market context review pending.