USDCAD

USDCAD 24-Hour Market Analysis

Analytical market scenario

Model ScenarioNeutral
Confidence34.00%34
Forecast Horizon24 hours
Entry Price1.40
StatusChecked

Probability Distribution

Growth36.00%36
Neutral40.00%40
Decline24.00%24

Why This Forecast?

USD/CAD is trading at 1.3989, with the 24-hour change at 0.0143% and the 7-day change at 0.8652%. The 24-hour range spans 1.3982–1.3989, and observed volatility is 0.0500%, indicating a very compressed session.

Market Context

USDCAD is trading near 1.3989. The 24-hour change is 0.0143%. The 24-hour range is 1.3982–1.3989. The 24-hour volatility is 0.0500%.

Detailed Analysis

The pair sits at 1.3989, essentially unchanged over 24 hours at 0.0143%, while the 7-day move of 0.8652% shows a mild upward drift. The 24-hour range of 1.3982–1.3989 is narrow and observed volatility of 0.0500% is low, so there is little directional momentum to extrapolate. With no technical indicators, economic calendar, or recent news available, the balance of evidence supports a neutral stance over the next 24 hours.

Key Factors

  • The canonical USDCAD market context includes 1.3989.
  • The 24-hour change of 0.0143% shows the pair is essentially flat on the day.
  • The 7-day change of 0.8652% indicates a modest upward drift over the past week.
  • The 24-hour range of 1.3982–1.3989 is narrow, reflecting limited directional movement.
  • Observed volatility of 0.0500% is low, consistent with a quiet session.

What Could Change This Scenario?

  • Low observed volatility of 0.0500% can precede a sharp breakout in either direction, making the neutral view vulnerable.
  • The 1-hour change of 0.0501% shows a short-term uptick that could extend or reverse quickly.
  • The 7-day change of 0.8652% reflects a mild upward bias that could continue and tilt the outcome away from neutral.
  • The current price of 1.3989 sits at the top of the 24-hour range of 1.3982–1.3989, so a pullback toward the lower end is possible.

How This Forecast Is Verified

Generated
21.09.2026 03:25

Scheduled check
22.09.2026 03:25

Current status
Checked

Checked price: 1.40

Result: Correct

Price change: 0.36%

Checked at:

Historical accuracy of Marketograph AI

Overall accuracy: 84.91%

Verified forecasts: 53

Wins: 45

Losses: 8

View full accuracy

This forecast is an analytical market scenario based on the data available at the time of generation. It is not investment advice.

Live Market Chart

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Marketograph Scenario
Model ScenarioNeutral
Confidence34%
Horizon24 hours
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ConfirmedForecast Verified

Market Case

Forecast vs Reality

Forecast DirectionNeutral
Actual DirectionNeutral
Forecast ResultConfirmed
Prediction Error0.35740

Performance Snapshot

Entry Price1.39890
Exit Price1.40390
Price Change0.36%

AI Review

Summary

Market case created from checked forecast. AI review pending.

Forecast Review

Forecast review will be generated in the next AI Market Case sprint.

Market Context

Market Context

Market context review pending.