USDCAD

USDCAD 24-Hour Market Analysis

Analytical market scenario

Model ScenarioNeutral
Confidence35.00%35
Forecast Horizon24 hours
Entry Price1.39
StatusChecked

Probability Distribution

Growth34.00%34
Neutral38.00%38
Decline28.00%28

Why This Forecast?

USD/CAD is trading at 1.3913, with a 24-hour change of 0.1007% and a 7-day change of 0.9212%. The 24-hour range spans 1.39–1.3919, and observed volatility is 0.1366%, indicating a tightly compressed session.

Market Context

USDCAD is trading near 1.3913. The 24-hour change is 0.1007%. The 24-hour range is 1.39–1.3919. The 24-hour volatility is 0.1366%.

Detailed Analysis

The pair sits near the upper end of its 24-hour range, with the current price at 1.3913 versus a 24-hour high of 1.3919 and low of 1.39. The 24-hour change of 0.1007% is modestly positive, while the 1-hour change of -0.0431% is slightly negative, suggesting a pause after a mild advance. The 7-day change of 0.9212% shows a gradual upward drift, but the very low 24-hour volatility of 0.1366% limits conviction in any directional extension.

Key Factors

  • The canonical USDCAD market context includes 1.3913.
  • The 7-day change of 0.9212% indicates a mild upward bias over the past week.
  • The 24-hour change of 0.1007% is slightly positive, keeping the pair near the top of its recent range.
  • Observed 24-hour volatility of 0.1366% is very low, pointing to a compressed trading range.
  • The 24-hour range of 1.39–1.3919 is narrow, with price holding near the upper bound.

What Could Change This Scenario?

  • The 1-hour change of -0.0431% is slightly negative, which could signal fading momentum if it persists.
  • Low 24-hour volatility of 0.1366% can precede abrupt range expansions, making the current calm potentially misleading.
  • With the current price at 1.3913 close to the 24-hour high of 1.3919, a failure to break higher could invite a pullback toward the 24-hour low of 1.39.

How This Forecast Is Verified

Generated
16.09.2026 03:25

Scheduled check
17.09.2026 03:25

Current status
Checked

Checked price: 1.40

Result: Incorrect

Price change: 0.57%

Checked at:

Historical accuracy of Marketograph AI

Overall accuracy: 84.91%

Verified forecasts: 53

Wins: 45

Losses: 8

View full accuracy

This forecast is an analytical market scenario based on the data available at the time of generation. It is not investment advice.

Live Market Chart

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Marketograph Scenario
Model ScenarioNeutral
Confidence35%
Horizon24 hours
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Not confirmedForecast Verified

Market Case

Forecast vs Reality

Forecast DirectionNeutral
Actual DirectionGrowth
Forecast ResultNot confirmed
Prediction Error0.56780

Performance Snapshot

Entry Price1.39130
Exit Price1.39920
Price Change0.57%

AI Review

Summary

Market case created from checked forecast. AI review pending.

Forecast Review

Forecast review will be generated in the next AI Market Case sprint.

Market Context

Market Context

Market context review pending.