USDCAD

USDCAD 24-Hour Market Analysis

Analytical market scenario

Model ScenarioNeutral
Confidence35.00%35
Forecast Horizon24 hours
Entry Price1.39
StatusChecked

Probability Distribution

Growth30.00%30
Neutral45.00%45
Decline25.00%25

Why This Forecast?

USD/CAD is trading at 1.3866, with the 24-hour change at -0.0216% and the 7-day change at 0.2531%. The 24-hour range spans 1.3866–1.3869, and observed volatility is 0.0216%, indicating a very compressed trading band over the recent window.

Market Context

USDCAD is trading near 1.3866. The 24-hour change is -0.0216%. The 24-hour range is 1.3866–1.3869. The 24-hour volatility is 0.0216%.

Detailed Analysis

The pair shows a slight negative drift over the past hour and day, with the 1-hour change at -0.0216% and the 24-hour change at -0.0216%, while the 7-day change remains mildly positive at 0.2531%. The 24-hour high of 1.3869 and low of 1.3866 sit extremely close together, and observed volatility of 0.0216% confirms an unusually quiet session. With no directional momentum and no available news or technical indicators, the most probable path is continued range-bound consolidation.

Key Factors

  • The canonical USDCAD market context includes 1.3866.
  • The 24-hour change is -0.0216%, reflecting a marginal negative drift rather than a decisive directional move.
  • The 7-day change is 0.2531%, showing a modestly positive weekly bias that contrasts with the flat daily performance.
  • Observed 24-hour volatility is 0.0216%, consistent with a very narrow trading band and limited price discovery.
  • The 24-hour range of 1.3866–1.3869 is unusually tight, with the high and low nearly indistinguishable.

What Could Change This Scenario?

  • The 1-hour change of -0.0216% indicates that short-term momentum can shift quickly even within a quiet range.
  • The 24-hour high of 1.3869 and low of 1.3866 are so close that a breakout in either direction could occur without warning.
  • No recent news, economic calendar, or technical indicators are available, so the forecast relies solely on price-derived evidence and may miss fundamental catalysts.

How This Forecast Is Verified

Generated
14.09.2026 03:25

Scheduled check
15.09.2026 03:25

Current status
Checked

Checked price: 1.39

Result: Correct

Price change: 0.30%

Checked at:

Historical accuracy of Marketograph AI

Overall accuracy: 84.91%

Verified forecasts: 53

Wins: 45

Losses: 8

View full accuracy

This forecast is an analytical market scenario based on the data available at the time of generation. It is not investment advice.

Live Market Chart

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Marketograph Scenario
Model ScenarioNeutral
Confidence35%
Horizon24 hours
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ConfirmedForecast Verified

Market Case

Forecast vs Reality

Forecast DirectionNeutral
Actual DirectionNeutral
Forecast ResultConfirmed
Prediction Error0.29570

Performance Snapshot

Entry Price1.38660
Exit Price1.39070
Price Change0.30%

AI Review

Summary

Market case created from checked forecast. AI review pending.

Forecast Review

Forecast review will be generated in the next AI Market Case sprint.

Market Context

Market Context

Market context review pending.