EURUSD

EURUSD 24-Hour Market Analysis

Analytical market scenario

Model ScenarioNeutral
Confidence55%55
Forecast Horizon24 hours
Entry Price1.15450
StatusChecked

Probability Distribution

Growth30%30
Neutral45%45
Decline25%25

Why This Forecast?

The EUR/USD pair is currently trading at 1.1545, with a 24-hour change of 0.0000% and a 7-day change of 0.0867%. The 24-hour range is 1.1538–1.155.

Market Context

EURUSD is trading near 1.1545. The 24-hour change is 0.0000%. The 24-hour range is 1.1538–1.155. The 24-hour volatility is 0.1039%.

Detailed Analysis

The pair has shown minimal movement over the past 24 hours, with a change of 0.0000% and a 1-hour change of -0.0087%. The 24-hour volatility is 0.1039%, indicating a stable market. News suggests the Euro is stalling below the 100-day SMA, and traders are awaiting US CPI data, which could influence direction.

Key Factors

  • The canonical EURUSD market context includes 1.1545.
  • The 24-hour high is 1.155 and the low is 1.1538, showing a tight trading range.
  • The 7-day change is 0.0867%, suggesting a slight upward bias over the week.
  • News reports indicate that the Euro is capped by the 100-day SMA, and upcoming US CPI data could be a catalyst.

What Could Change This Scenario?

  • The 1-hour change is -0.0087%, showing a slight negative momentum in the short term.
  • Hawkish comments from a Fed official suggest potential rate hikes, which could strengthen the USD.
  • The 24-hour volatility is 0.1039%, which is low, but unexpected news could increase volatility.

How This Forecast Is Verified

Generated
12.08.2026 03:15

Scheduled check
13.08.2026 03:15

Current status
Checked

Checked price: 1.15270000

Result: win

Price change: -0.1559

Checked at:

Historical accuracy of Marketograph AI

Overall accuracy: 70.37%

Verified forecasts: 54

Wins: 38

Losses: 16

View full accuracy

This forecast is an analytical market scenario based on the data available at the time of generation. It is not investment advice.

Live Market Chart

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Marketograph Scenario
Model ScenarioNeutral
Confidence55%
Horizon24 hours
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ConfirmedForecast Verified

Market Case

Forecast vs Reality

Forecast DirectionNeutral
Actual DirectionNeutral
Forecast ResultConfirmed
Prediction Error0,15590

Performance Snapshot

Entry Price1,15450
Exit Price1,15270
Price Change-0,16%

AI Review

Summary

Market case created from checked forecast. AI review pending.

Forecast Review

Forecast review will be generated in the next AI Market Case sprint.

Market Context

Market Context

Market context review pending.