CNYRUB

CNYRUB 24-Hour Market Analysis

Analytical market scenario

Model ScenarioNeutral
Confidence35.00%35
Forecast Horizon24 hours
Entry Price12.60
StatusChecked

Probability Distribution

Growth35.00%35
Neutral45.00%45
Decline20.00%20

Why This Forecast?

CNY/RUB is trading at 12.5982, with a 24-hour change of 0.0938% and a 7-day change of 0.6495%. The 24-hour range spans 12.5616–12.5982, and observed volatility is 0.2905%, indicating a quiet, range-bound session with no clear directional bias.

Market Context

CNYRUB is trading near 12.5982. The 24-hour change is 0.0938%. The 24-hour range is 12.5616–12.5982. The 24-hour volatility is 0.2905%.

Detailed Analysis

The pair sits near the top of its 24-hour range, with the current price at 12.5982 versus a 24-hour high of 12.5982 and a 24-hour low of 12.5616. Momentum is minimal: the 1-hour change is 0.0016% and the 24-hour change is 0.0938%, while the 7-day change of 0.6495% shows only a mild upward drift. With volatility at 0.2905%, conditions favor continued consolidation over a strong directional move.

Key Factors

  • The canonical CNYRUB market context includes 12.5982.
  • The 7-day change of 0.6495% suggests a mild upward bias over the past week.
  • Observed 24-hour volatility of 0.2905% points to subdued price action.
  • The 24-hour range of 12.5616–12.5982 is narrow, consistent with range-bound trading.
  • The 1-hour change of 0.0016% indicates little immediate momentum.

What Could Change This Scenario?

  • A break above the 24-hour high of 12.5982 or below the 24-hour low of 12.5616 could signal a directional shift.
  • Low volatility of 0.2905% can precede sudden expansion, which may invalidate a neutral stance.
  • The 24-hour change of 0.0938% is small, so momentum could reverse quickly without a clear catalyst.

How This Forecast Is Verified

Generated
18.09.2026 03:50

Scheduled check
19.09.2026 03:50

Current status
Checked

Checked price: 12.56

Result: Correct

Price change: -0.32%

Checked at:

Historical accuracy of Marketograph AI

Overall accuracy: 38.46%

Verified forecasts: 52

Wins: 20

Losses: 32

View full accuracy

This forecast is an analytical market scenario based on the data available at the time of generation. It is not investment advice.

Live Market Chart

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Marketograph Scenario
Model ScenarioNeutral
Confidence35%
Horizon24 hours
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ConfirmedForecast Verified

Market Case

Forecast vs Reality

Forecast DirectionNeutral
Actual DirectionNeutral
Forecast ResultConfirmed
Prediction Error0.31990

Performance Snapshot

Entry Price12.59820
Exit Price12.55790
Price Change-0.32%

AI Review

Summary

Market case created from checked forecast. AI review pending.

Forecast Review

Forecast review will be generated in the next AI Market Case sprint.

Market Context

Market Context

Market context review pending.