MARKETOGRAPH
CNYRUB

CNYRUB 24-Hour Market Analysis

Analytical market scenario

Model ScenarioNeutral
Confidence35.00%35
Forecast Horizon24 hours
Entry Price12.58
StatusChecked

Probability Distribution

Growth34.00%34
Neutral40.00%40
Decline26.00%26

Why This Forecast?

CNY/RUB is trading at 12.5782, with the 24-hour change at 0.0270% and the 1-hour change at 0.0565%. The 7-day change stands at -1.9649%, indicating a softer backdrop over the past week. The 24-hour range spans 12.4925–12.5782, with observed volatility at 0.6813%.

Market Context

CNYRUB is trading near 12.5782. The 24-hour change is 0.0270%. The 24-hour range is 12.4925–12.5782. The 24-hour volatility is 0.6813%.

Detailed Analysis

Short-term momentum is essentially flat, with the 1-hour change at 0.0565% and the 24-hour change at 0.0270%, both near unchanged. The 7-day change of -1.9649% shows a modest pullback over the week, suggesting the recent drift has been mildly negative. The 24-hour range of 12.4925–12.5782 is relatively contained, and observed volatility of 0.6813% is low, which supports a neutral near-term bias rather than a strong directional call.

Key Factors

  • The canonical CNYRUB market context includes 12.5782.
  • The 24-hour change is 0.0270%, indicating little net movement over the past day.
  • The 7-day change is -1.9649%, reflecting a softer weekly trend.
  • Observed 24-hour volatility is 0.6813%, consistent with a subdued trading environment.
  • The 24-hour range is 12.4925–12.5782, showing a contained band around the current price of 12.5782.

What Could Change This Scenario?

  • A shift in the 1-hour change from its current 0.0565% could signal a change in short-term momentum.
  • The 7-day change of -1.9649% shows the pair is not immune to a sustained directional move, which could extend beyond the current range.
  • Observed volatility of 0.6813% is low, but volatility can expand unexpectedly and widen the 24-hour range of 12.4925–12.5782.

How This Forecast Is Verified

Generated
15.09.2026 03:50

Scheduled check
16.09.2026 03:50

Current status
Checked

Checked price: 12.54

Result: Correct

Price change: -0.27%

Checked at:

Historical accuracy of Marketograph AI

Overall accuracy: 38.46%

Verified forecasts: 52

Wins: 20

Losses: 32

View full accuracy

This forecast is an analytical market scenario based on the data available at the time of generation. It is not investment advice.

Live Market Chart

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Marketograph Scenario
Model ScenarioNeutral
Confidence35%
Horizon24 hours
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ConfirmedForecast Verified

Market Case

Forecast vs Reality

Forecast DirectionNeutral
Actual DirectionNeutral
Forecast ResultConfirmed
Prediction Error0.26710

Performance Snapshot

Entry Price12.57820
Exit Price12.54460
Price Change-0.27%

AI Review

Summary

Market case created from checked forecast. AI review pending.

Forecast Review

Forecast review will be generated in the next AI Market Case sprint.

Market Context

Market Context

Market context review pending.